Adding up the numbers …

Premiership

Cape Town City (45 points with seven games remaining), Kaizer Chiefs (45 points with six matches to play), BidVest Wits (44 points with nine games to play), Mamelodi Sundowns (41 points and nine to play) and SuperSport United, currently on 37 with eight to play, can all surpass the magical 60-point mark.

The average title winning points haul since the top-flight football was trimmed down to 16 teams ahead of the start of the 2002/03 season stands at 61 and all five contenders can still reach that tally if they find form in the remainder of the season.

However, with 65 points being the minimum league-winning tally in the past three years, only Wits, Sundowns and Cape Town City can reach that mark.

Chiefs can only get a maximum of 63 points if they win all of their remaining six games against Cape Town City, SuperSport, Golden Arrows, Polokwane City, Platinum Stars and Wits.

SuperSport’s total will stand at 61 points if they pocket all 24 points that they must still play for against Sundowns on Wednesday, then Wits, Chiefs, Bloemfontein Celtic, Polokwane, Cape Town City, Chippa and Platinum Stars.

Wits won’t need to look over their shoulders if they can win all their remaining games but such is the difficult schedule of their home run that they will have to swim in crocodile infested waters to achieve that with games against Cape Town City, SuperSport, Highlands Park, Sundowns, Orlando Pirates, Maritzburg United, Free State Stars, Polokwane and Chiefs on the way.

Wins in all those games will give Wits an unassailable 71 points – matching the famous record mark reached by Sundowns last season.

The Brazilians can reach maximum of 68 points if they turn back the hands of time and repeat what they did from March 9 to May 6, 2014 when they won 10 in a row on their way to that season’s title.

The Brazilians are currently on 41 points and have SuperSport on Wednesday, then Ajax Cape Town, Arrows, Wits, Platinum Stars, Pirates, Baroka, Maritzburg and Highlands.

Surprise title challengers Cape Town City will reach a maximum of 66 points if they also take all of the points available from the seven games that they still have to play.

Their list of opponents has Wits, Chiefs, Maritzburg, Free State, SuperSport, Arrows and Polokwane.

Based on the remaining fixtures for all the five in contention for the league any team that reaches just over 60 points (not more than 63) will definitely be crowned champions.

Since the number of teams in the PSL was cut down to 16, only six championship seasons have been won by a team with less than 60 points.

SuperSport needed less than 60 in all three of their championship winning years, while 57 was enough for Sundowns in 2005/06 and for Pirates, 58 was enough five years ago with Chiefs then taking the crown with 57 in 2012/13.

The lowest ever winning tally stands at 54 – attained by Matsatsantsa in the 2007/08 season, while the 60-63 points bracket – which is where the title likely falls this year – has provided the golden numbers five times.

 

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